Yes I was feeling a little heat. After all, I performed another one of those look people, admire my awesome prescience blog posts, no less than three weeks ago. I was trying to assuage the frustration of my fellow conservatives and realists  —  and maybe my own too  —  who have all been wondering what in tarnation was keeping Barack Obama’s poll numbers so relatively stable even in spite of a pile of whopper scandals plaguing his administration. I said don’t worry, his numbers will fall, eventually.

Secretly, we knew then and still know the poll stability was the result of the lamestream media and its water-carrying (whitewashing, under-reporting or displaying a blindingly obvious willful ignorance of the issues, or just by putting their ubiquitous Obama-luvin’ spin on it all) for their boy Barack. It’s sort of like how the Dow Jones Index looks in this day of what is really just artificial (government) stimulus. Like a Hollywood set  — it’s fake.

Three weeks is a long time to wait when you’re waiting to prove what a genius you are, or dummy you aren’t.

I’d said, in essence, don’t worry, his time will come. His numbers will fall, once his mighty mainstream media water-carriers start spilling water, so full of water (or BS) are its, um, water-carrying compartment thingies. And rather than appear as though they were carrying his water, they will slowly throw Obama under the bus and declare their “objectivity” was there all along. (Then, trust me, they will start blaming conservatives and Republicans, like Obama always does.)

John Fund of the National Review channeled my relief yesterday in The Corner:

It took a while, but President Obama’s poll numbers are now dropping after the recent series of scandals. Last week, a Fox News poll found a majority of those it surveyed believe President Obama let election-year politics make his decision not to send help to the Americans under attack at the consulate in Benghazi. Now a new CNN poll finds his approval rating has fallen to 45 percent …

Three weeks ago, like so many liberal prognosticators with one of their left-wing theories they then set out to prove using “science,” I’d sought some backup opinion (conservative only!), and even some serious analysis from pollsters and such. And wadoyaknow, my science was settled. The discussion over. My awesomeness was proven in advance. By which I mean it wasn’t, yet, at all, but was waiting to be, so specious its claims. You know, like Al Gore’s science on the man-made global warming (which in his case will conveniently take 1,000 years to prove or more likely, disprove).

So to analyze this week’s new information, it may be best to go right back to one of the sources I quoted three weeks ago  — Jim Geraghtys Morning Jolt newsletter, which, this week, did much the same as I am now doing.

CNN Poll Out This Morning: Reality Catches Up with Obama’s Approval Rating

CNN’s Washington-bureau chief reports: “New CNN poll on Obama approval rating: 45% approve. Down from 53% in May.”

Now that’s a drop.

The CNN/ORC International survey released Monday morning comes as the White House has been reacting to controversies over a massive U.S. government surveillance program; the Internal Revenue Service’s targeting of tea party and other conservative groups who applied for tax-exempt status; the administration’s handling of last September’s attack in Benghazi that left the U.S. ambassador to Libya and three other Americans dead; and the Justice Department’s secret collection of journalists’ phone records as part of a government investigation into classified leaks.The poll indicates that for the first time in Obama’s presidency, half of the public says they don’t believe he is honest and trustworthy. And Americans are split on the controversial National Security Agency anti-terrorism program to record metadata on U.S. phone calls, but they support the NSA program that targets records of Internet usage by people in other countries. That doesn’t mean they necessarily like what is going on: Just over six in 10 believe that government is so large and powerful that it threatens the rights and freedoms of ordinary Americans…

The president’s approval rating stands at 45%, down from 53% in mid-May. And 54% say they disapprove of how Obama’s handling his job, up nine points from last month. It’s the first time in CNN polling since November 2011 that a majority of Americans have had a negative view of the president.

“The drop in Obama’s support is fueled by a dramatic 17-point decline over the past month among people under 30, who, along with black Americans, had been the most loyal part of the Obama coalition,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

The president also dropped 10 points among independent voters, from 47% last month to 37% now, with Obama’s disapproval among independents jumping 12 points to 61%.

What’s behind the drop?

“It is clear that revelations about NSA surveillance programs have damaged Obama’s standing with the public, although older controversies like the IRS matter may have begun to take their toll as well,” adds Holland. …

The editor of the National Journal, Ron Fournier wrote a column yesterday, headlined, “Do You Trust This Man?” And it takes guts for them to admit the answer is of course a solid “no.” To state the obvious, that’s very, very bad for a U.S. president.

This is not but one poll. It joins the Fox News poll particularly with regard to Benghazi-gate. And Rasmussen’s presidential approval daily tracking, which shows he has gone from a +3 rating at the end of 2012 to today’s -18 approval rating  —  a drop of 21 points; and the Real Clear Politics average of polls, which now shows 46.6% approval versus 48.3% disapproval.

As Obamatron John Avlon of The Daily Beast writes in his article In Wake of Surveillance Stories, Barack Obama’s Poll Numbers Plummet, “One poll shouldn’t be seen as determinative, but this poll could be a leading indicator and it should cause concern in the West Wing.” He was speaking only to the CNN poll.

OK so how about three polls? Or four? Or maybe ask Democratic Party insiders. As Josh Kraushaar at the National Review, wrote yesterday:

In a new CNN/ORC poll, Obama’s job approval dropped 8 points in the last month to 45 percent. Among Americans age 18-29, that number slipped 17 points. Democratic pollsters told National Journal‘s Ron Fournier they are seeing similar trend lines emerging.

Even Gallup is showing an ugly trend line for Obama, especially if you look over his whole presidency.

Gallup-june 17 2013 (500px)

Of course there are some liberal reporters and opinionators who, like Fox Butterfield, just can’t seem to put 2+2 together and see the obvious  —  or at least they can’t bring themselves to admit it’s four. Take Ken Walsh from USA Today and this headline: “Obama’s Poll Numbers Are Better Than They Look”. His first line? “President Obama’s job approval ratings, though tepid and declining, appear to be good enough to keep him from becoming a lame duck any time soon.” OK so the numbers are now low, and they’re getting lower. But don’t worry, he still has a chance to not become a joke  —  at least not any time soon!

That’s a pretty low bar.

It reminded me of my viewing of MSNBC any day of the week, or Dumb and Dumber‘s Lloyd.

Lloyd: What do you think the chances are of a guy like you and a girl like me… ending up together?

Mary: Well, Lloyd, that’s difficult to say. I mean, we don’t really…

Jim Carrey Dumb and DumberLloyd: Hit me with it! Just give it to me straight! I came a long way just to see you, Mary. The least you can do is level with me. What are my chances?

Mary: Not good.

Lloyd: You mean, not good like one out of a hundred?

Mary: I’d say more like one out of a million.


Lloyd: So you’re telling me there’s a chance… *YEAH!*

Let’s just call those folks “deniers.” Huh.

Anyway, the point is I’m a genius.